Chip War

The Looming Chip War

Dick Eassom Opinion

Can the US win the looming semiconductor war against China? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton offers his opinion…

Analyst

Confessions of an Analyst

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As an analyst with training in economics and a lifetime in politics, SMA Executive advisor Greg Treverton explains how he finds it hard to answer some contemporary socio-political questions.

Decoupling from China

Geopolitics and Decoupling from China

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In his latest opinion piece, SMA Executive Advisor and former Chair of the National Intelligence Council, Greg Treverton discusses the concept of decoupling: reversing globalization, in particular with regard to China, reducing reliance on supply chains in China, and even “reshoring” them

Russia Riddle

The Russia Riddle

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Greg Treverton, SMA Executive Advisor and former Chair of the National Intelligence Council, ponders whether the Biden administration is inclined to reach out to Russia and whether Putin is disposed to respond

Solar Winds

The Solar Winds Wake-up Call

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SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton makes the case that international rules of the road in the cyber world are long overdue, and necessary to limit attacks on national infrastructure

Build Back Better

Building Back Better

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SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton discusses the issues facing soon-to-be President Biden with enacting his campaign promise for America to “Build Back Better” after COVID-19

The Imperative of Diplomacy

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A timely reminder from SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton that today’s young people will need to reshape both diplomacy and the institutions through which it is conducted.

European Union

Europe Coming Apart?

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Will the European Union become less effective as an American partner? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton looks at the EU’s financial problems, Muslim immigration, and political shifts

Strategic Thinking

Rebuilding Strategic Thinking

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If our world is less existentially dangerous than the high Cold War, it is scary in its shapelessness. It is a world that needs strategic analysis: what is important, what is less so?

Xi Jinping

Parsing the Xi Puzzle

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Chinese President Xi Jinping is a puzzle. He understands our politics better than we understand his, but will he win the trade war with President Trump?

INF Treaty

[Point]Counterpoint: The INF Treaty

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President Trump’s decision to withdraw from the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty is not a disaster but is a mistake. Having a place for [the Russians and Chinese] to come [to discuss nuclear weapons], like the INF treaty, would not be a bad idea.

Global Strategy

Point[CounterPoint]: Trump’s Global Strategy

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There is a certain logic to Trump’s strategy: major global institutions, like the EU & NATO, were created in a very different time, and the war on terrorism distracted from the return of geopolitics among major nations, so it is appropriate to ask of any action whether it is good for America.

Point[CounterPoint]

SMA Launches New Point[Counterpoint] Blog

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SMA’s Point[Counterpoint] will feature two distinguished authors, Greg Treverton and Dave Patterson, who have previously written controversial SMA opinion papers. Together, they will help readers explore opposing viewpoints on a wide range of topics. Readers are invited to contribute their point of view or to suggest topics for the series.

US Constitution

Point[Counterpoint]: The American Republic

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Time as any to reflect on the ending of the first American republic and to reflect on what may come next. Historians remind us that today looks a lot like the last third of the nineteenth century in its economic uncertainty, corruption, and government dysfunction.

Words

The Power of Words

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While we can’t do without language when discussing international relations, that same language can limit and often distort our understanding. We need language but we are also its prisoners.

The Russia Paradox

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Russia is a failing petro-autocracy. Virtually everything Vladimir Putin has done temporarily extends Russia’s corrupt government but hastens its inevitable decline.

Cold War

Cold War Redux?

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Rivalry between the great powers is an unwelcome surprise when the US had laser focused on the non-state threat of terrorism. So: is the Cold War back?

Global Trends

Global Trends and US Policy

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Based on current trends, what does the future have in store for us five years from now, and 20 years from now, and how might this affect US global policy, especially with respect to poorer countries?