Opinion
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Pathways Forward for China and the United StatesSMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair Greg Treverton summarizes some positive Sino-US discussions following last November's APEC meeting.March 6, 2024 -
China: Two; Treverton: ZeroGreg Treverton, SMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair, meets the surveillance state during his recent visit to China for...January 22, 2024 -
Influencing Policy from OutsideSMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair Greg Treverton reflects on two times he sought to influence US foreign policy...January 16, 2024 -
Intelligence Analysis Dos and Dont'sSMA Executive Advisor and former Chair of the NIC, Greg Treverton, tell us his dos and don’ts when analyzing national...December 12, 2023 -
The Global Sources of America’s MessFormer NIC Chair Greg Treverton muses on whether the current US polarization and gridlock is self-inflicted or foreign influenced.November 27, 2023 -
Reframing ChinaFormer NIC Chair Greg Treverton examines the future of the Sino-American relationship: collaborative, competitive, and/or adversarial.November 10, 2023 -
AI and Intelligence: ChatGPT OutputFormer NIC Chair Greg Treverton asked ChatGPT to write how he would assess the impact of AI on the US...October 3, 2023 -
The Promise and Peril of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for Intelligence AnalysisFormer NIC Chair Greg Treverton asked ChatGPT to write how he would assess the impact of AI on the US...October 1, 2023 -
Thinking about Future World OrderFormer NIC Chair Greg Treverton says that any confident predictions about China’s future, let alone Sino-American relationships, are suspect.September 15, 2023 -
Dimensions of Future IntelligenceFormer NIC Chair Greg Treverton presented the nine dimensions of challenges facing national intelligence in our August 3, 2023 Town...August 14, 2023 -
Ukraine and the Future of the Global (Dis)OrderAfter the Putin-Prigozhin clash, what is the future for Ukraine and the Global (Dis)order? Former NIC Chair Greg Treverton has...June 29, 2023 -
The CIA Discovers CrowdsourcingSMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair, Greg Treverton discusses how the CIA is at long last seeking to recruit...May 26, 2023 -
Understanding China’s Gen ZFormer NIC Chair Greg Treverton ponders how China's Generation Z may change after the end of China's zero-Covid lockdowns.April 13, 2023 -
The Endless WarSMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton ponders whether we can or cannot afford to have Russia lose the war in Ukraine.March 13, 2023 -
Memoirs of a Nuclear Age BabySMA Executive Advisor & Former NIC Chair Greg Treverton looks at the history of nuclear weapon stalemate and whether we...January 25, 2023 -
Thinking about the Third Nuclear AgeSMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair Greg Treverton realizes we have more questions than answers in this third nuclear...January 20, 2023 -
Government That WorksWith Biden's first two years in office, SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton shows Government can work, even amidst polarization and...January 6, 2023 -
How the US Army Can Appeal to Gen ZersA Fox News opinion piece by Greg Treverton and David Sprott shows how US Army Recruiting can appeal to Gen...December 29, 2022 -
Reflections on the Nation-StateStates are once more front and center in international politics, after 20 years of concern about non-state actors, especially terroristsDecember 19, 2022 -
The Looming Chip WarCan the US win the looming semiconductor war against China? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton offers his opinion...November 7, 2022 -
Geopolitics and Climate in the ArcticThe conflict in Ukraine has halted cooperation through the Arctic Council. Let's hope that, minus Russia, it restarts soon to...October 31, 2022 -
Will the Ukraine War Upend the Emerging World (Dis)Order?Does the Ukraine War threaten the emerging post-9/11 world order? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton thinks it won't end well...July 15, 2022
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Denying Delegation…and Ending Government as We Have Known ItSMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton discusses the Supreme Court's recent decisions and how they may affect the future of US...July 11, 2022 -
Relearning Old Lessons in UkraineThe tragic war in Ukraine underscored lessons we learned, or should have, long ago. SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton provides...June 13, 2022 -
The End of Russia as a Major Power?Considering the implications of the Ukraine war, SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton believes this may be the end of Russia...May 26, 2022 -
Imagining the Endgame in UkraineOf all the possible endgames of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which is the best or least less bad? Greg...April 22, 2022 -
The Geopolitics of the War in UkraineSMA Executive Advisor and former National Intelligence Council Chair, Greg Treverton, tries to make sense of the Russian invasion of...April 11, 2022 -
Truth is the Best Way to Defeat Putin’s Invasion of UkraineBen Wachendorf, SMA Executive Advisor and retired U.S. Navy Admiral, explains his insights on the invasion of Ukraine.March 7, 2022 -
Confessions of an AnalystAs an analyst with training in economics and a lifetime in politics, SMA Executive advisor Greg Treverton explains how he...February 3, 2022 -
Thinking about Artificial Intelligence (AI)Artificial Intelligence (AI) will have an impact on virtually all jobs, but beyond that, SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton wonders...January 17, 2022 -
Lessons in Thinking about the FutureSMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair Greg Treverton's experience provides a framework for the what to dos and what...November 10, 2021 -
China’s Government CapitalismSMA Executive Advisor and former chair of the NIC, Greg Treverton asks why China's President Xi is turning against the...October 11, 2021 -
Geopolitics and Decoupling from ChinaIn his latest opinion piece, SMA Executive Advisor and former Chair of the National Intelligence Council, Greg Treverton discusses the...September 14, 2021 -
A Revolution in Intelligence Affairs?SMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair Greg Treverton asks whether the intelligence agencies are agile enough to herald a...July 21, 2021 -
The Simple Analytics—but Impossible Politics—of ImmigrationBased on the facts of US immigration, SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton, former Chair of the National Intelligence Council, advocates...July 6, 2021 -
The Russia RiddleGreg Treverton, SMA Executive Advisor and former Chair of the National Intelligence Council, ponders whether the Biden administration is inclined...June 17, 2021 -
Global Trends: Peering into the FutureSMA Executive Advisor and former National Intelligence Council (NIC) Chair Greg Treverton reviews the NIC's latest Global Trends report which...June 7, 2021 -
Anecdotes in Search of a (North) American FederationFor our 6 May Town Hall, with its Cinco de Mayo theme, SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton reminisced on his...May 11, 2021 -
Agenda for the Director of National IntelligenceSMA Executive Advisor and former NIC Chair Greg Treverton lays out the top of the agenda for the new Director...April 19, 2021 -
Biden Will Test the Paradoxes of Modern EconomicsWhat will be the effect of the Biden Administration on today's post-modern economy, with its paradoxes of late last century...April 5, 2021 -
Systems Thinking and National IntelligenceCould national intelligence analysis benefit from a systems thinking approach? Greg Treverton, SMA Executive Advisor and former chair of the...March 17, 2021 -
The Solar Winds Wake-up CallSMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton makes the case that international rules of the road in the cyber world are long...February 19, 2021 -
Thinking about—and Preparing for—Climate EngineeringIn his latest opinion piece, SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton argues that ready or not, climate engineering (CE) is coming,...February 16, 2021 -
Building Back BetterSMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton discusses the issues facing soon-to-be President Biden with enacting his campaign promise for America to...January 4, 2021 -
The Case for Policy PlanningGreg Treverton, SMA Advisor and former Chair of the U.S. National Intelligence Council, offers national security policy advice for the...December 22, 2020 -
A MAD Analogy for Mad Policy toward ChinaSMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton looks at the United States' current relationship with China. Are we looking at a new...October 23, 2020 -
American Democracy: Worth Voting For!In his opinion piece, SMA Principal Associate Dan Harrison makes the case for future leaders for American Democracy, an institution...September 28, 2020 -
The Future International Order?In his latest opinion piece, SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton discusses whether, post-pandemic, the United States can remain the leader...September 10, 2020 -
10 Steps for US to Succeed in Complex Era of Great Power CompetitionHow can the United States succeed in today's complex era of competition between the great powers? SMA Executive Advisor and...July 30, 2020 -
A Rubik’s Cube with Flags: Lessons for Multinational Armaments ProgramsSMA Executive Advisor and a former NATO Assistant Secretary General Peter Flory presents lessons learned and best practices to help...July 17, 2020 -
Understand Bureaucratic Behaviors to Improve Systems Acquisition in the DoDDave Patterson discusses the nature of bureaucracy in the US Department of Defense (DoD) acquisition process, and offers simple incentives...July 7, 2020 -
Rethinking National SecuritySMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton advocates for rethinking U.S. national security in terms of health and biosecurity, not just a...June 24, 2020 -
Is China Waging Warfare Against the U.S.?In their White Paper, James Farwell and Dave Patterson ask whether China is waging war against the U.S. and other...April 24, 2020 -
Accountability at the DoDSMA Executive Advisor Ben Wachendorf (RADM US Navy, Ret.) shows how a poor decision making process at the DoD is...April 20, 2020 -
Slow-Down at the Pentagon: What Would Baldwin Say Today (Redux)Update! Nearly 2 years ago, we commented on how Hanson Baldwin would've been pleased that DoD Instruction 5000.2 is only...April 15, 2020 -
What Can DoD Do for the A&D Industry in the Midst of COVID-19? Now!Dave Patterson details some efforts that the US DoD can make right now that would help small businesses (and large...April 9, 2020
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North Korea’s Nuclear Program: Learning from Sig HeckerWill North Korea ever give up its nuclear weapons? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton reports on the views of Sig...March 20, 2020 -
Reflections on the Future of the National Intelligence Council and U.S. IntelligenceSMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton reflects on the past and future of the National Intelligence Council (NIC), which he led...March 6, 2020 -
Defense Spending and Deployments: A Little HistoryIn 2019, the United States spent $686 billion on defense, more than the combined total of the next six countries...February 4, 2020 -
The Future of Nuclear Non-ProliferationThe future of efforts to limit the danger of nuclear weapons in global affairs is clear. SMA Executive Advisor...January 7, 2020 -
The Imperative of DiplomacyA timely reminder from SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton that today’s young people will need to reshape both diplomacy and...October 23, 2019 -
Whither Nuclear Deterrence?From the end of the Soviet Union until now, the sole purpose of nuclear weapons was to deter nuclear attacks....August 29, 2019 -
Europe Coming Apart?Will the European Union become less effective as an American partner? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton looks at the EU's...August 27, 2019 -
The Chinese Way of War…and OursSMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton suggests that the US need to rethink its "way of war," designed for a time...July 17, 2019 -
North Korea a Year Later: Demonstrating Einstein?Einstein supposedly said, “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different...June 20, 2019 -
When the Antagonist Doesn’t Play by the Same PlaybookIs "If They Can Do It, So Can We" an ethically acceptable playbook? SMA Executive Advisor Greg Treverton discusses the...June 18, 2019
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